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they show a close race, but president obama with a small but durable lead in the states that matter, and predictions show a race leaning towards the president. >> i don't necessarily agree with that. i think what people would argue is that it is very close, and it's tight in a number of states, okay? >> yeah. >> and the undecided are not -- the general view is that if they have held out this long, chances are they won't vote for the president. that's one argument. so a lot of people look at that in a positive sense. but who knows? >> we're going to find out. >> let mort finish. let's see -- what's the unemployment rate by thunemploy, the more relevant one is 6, that's 14.7%. >> you regard this as good news or bad news? the white house says there are 170,000 of new jobs, sectors are up. romney says sad news that unemployment is up, you know, by 1/10th of a point. >> what was it when obama took office? >> it's not saying unemployment has increased. >> it's higher since obama -- >> there are fewer jobs than when obama took office, so it's not been a great improvement in the economy. we'
they show a close race, but president obama with a small but durable lead in the states that matter, and predictions show a race leaning towards the president. >> i don't necessarily agree with that. i think what people would argue is that it is very close, and it's tight in a number of states, okay? >> yeah. >> and the undecided are not -- the general view is that if they have held out this long, chances are they won't vote for the president. that's one argument. so a lot of...
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the first is the state waivers from obama care. the second will launch a sweeping review of all the obama care regulations. fourthe first time in the years, every entrepreneur or in small business creator will know the president and the government of the united states likes them and likes the jobs they bring to our fellow americans. paul ryan and i will limit government, instead of limiting the dreams of our fellow americans. our choice on tuesday can lead to one of two very different outcomes. you know if the president were to be reelected, he would still be unable to work with the people in congress. he is ignored them, attack them, blamed them, and the debt ceiling will come up again. shut down and defaults will be threatened. that freezes the economy. by the way, the president was right the of the day when he said he cannot change washington from the inside, only from outside. we will give him that chance soon. when i am elected, i will work with republicans and democrats in congress. i will meet with the leaders. i will leave
the first is the state waivers from obama care. the second will launch a sweeping review of all the obama care regulations. fourthe first time in the years, every entrepreneur or in small business creator will know the president and the government of the united states likes them and likes the jobs they bring to our fellow americans. paul ryan and i will limit government, instead of limiting the dreams of our fellow americans. our choice on tuesday can lead to one of two very different outcomes....
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how many will vote in new york or pennsylvania, or new jersey, a blue state, where obama -- >> if they don't get to the polls -- >> no. >> how about early voting? who does that help? >> people claim to know that, but i don't think -- >> there's a lot of spin. >> no, spin? >> people clinton now, -- and, know -- people claim to know, and i don't know how they really can. >> both of them are hiring lawyers on election night, so there will be a lot of contested votes. we could spin into wednesday, thursday, weeks beyond. >> could i have the envelope, please? >> how many states would be un result because of sandy? >> depends on the closeness of the race. >> most of the damage, and i am sure this is divine intervention on the part of conservatives, occurred in blue states. >> let me talk about jobs again. how about romney's jeep ad. >> obamas told chrysler to italians who are going to build the jeeps in china. >> one of the most flagrantly dishonest ads have seen in my career. >> the chrysler ceo angrily denies shipping jobs to china, and chrysler's third quarter profits are up over a year a
how many will vote in new york or pennsylvania, or new jersey, a blue state, where obama -- >> if they don't get to the polls -- >> no. >> how about early voting? who does that help? >> people claim to know that, but i don't think -- >> there's a lot of spin. >> no, spin? >> people clinton now, -- and, know -- people claim to know, and i don't know how they really can. >> both of them are hiring lawyers on election night, so there will be a lot of...
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if president obama can win these three, on top of the solid blue states democrats have taken in the last several elections, he will have the 271 electoral votes he needs to win, even if governor romney sweeps all the rest of the battleground states. which is why you do see governor romney making a late play in pennsylvania. he's going to be there today in the suburbs of philadelphia. pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes are an insurance policy against a loss in ohio. democrats are calling it a hail mary, but the race is tighter than expected there,en so, the gamble makes some sense. romney will need to win pennsylvania if the president's firewall holds. david? >> george stephanopoulos, who will be guiding us all through election night, thank you. >>> and now to a key group both sides have tried to court, the hispanic vote. the president leads among hispanics, 66% to 28%. and keep in mind, john mccain got 31%, more than that, four years ago. how big a role will hispanic voters play? we turn to our partners at univision, and jorge ramos tonight. hjorg jorge? >> reporter: david, the new rule i
if president obama can win these three, on top of the solid blue states democrats have taken in the last several elections, he will have the 271 electoral votes he needs to win, even if governor romney sweeps all the rest of the battleground states. which is why you do see governor romney making a late play in pennsylvania. he's going to be there today in the suburbs of philadelphia. pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes are an insurance policy against a loss in ohio. democrats are calling it a...
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they will be voting for mitt romney because barack obama is going to take away their jobs if he gets this thing going to hydraulic fracking. >> neil: if mitt romney were to pick up pennsylvania, it would ake some of the iortance off of winning ohio and redo the math. >> two more electoral votes. >> neil: they say they are just smoking something because they have no chance in pennsylvania and they are trying to deflect atakes what a losing ground game in ohio. what say you? >> all i can tell you i think they are spending $10-12 million in pennsylvania this week. that is serious money i think more money barack obama is spending. unlike ohio where over a third of the votes have been cast, 97% of votes have not been casted in pennsylvania. i'm not a big fan for early voting for the very reason we're seeing in pennsylvania. you don't want to race for the last months of campaign. you win a race and people decide on the day not a period of three or four weeks where dynamics can change. pennsylvania, only way don't voted on election day you get an absentee ballot. i think that the best way.
they will be voting for mitt romney because barack obama is going to take away their jobs if he gets this thing going to hydraulic fracking. >> neil: if mitt romney were to pick up pennsylvania, it would ake some of the iortance off of winning ohio and redo the math. >> two more electoral votes. >> neil: they say they are just smoking something because they have no chance in pennsylvania and they are trying to deflect atakes what a losing ground game in ohio. what say you?...
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we will.dent that president obama will be reelected president of the united states. >> president obama is going to be in florida for the last time before the election day today. i was just in florida. >> in my district. >> i was doing some canvassing with the national. one of the things i was interested in finding out, and now the a bombing campaign is suggesting that hispanic latino voting might be of 2%. how do think president obama is going to do with hispanics and african-americans? will and make a difference to that? >> that will make a key difference. for example, yesterday's in terms of our door-to-door canvassing, we canvassed yesterday and reached hundreds of thousands. the turnout in terms of early voting has skewed heavily toward the hispanic and african american voters turning out. what has also backfired on the republicans is that they had an egregiously extreme voter suppression of a past, some of which was tossed out. i feel like the increase in the turnout in hispanic voters is really a direct result of the frustration and anger of the obstacles that republicans have tr
we will.dent that president obama will be reelected president of the united states. >> president obama is going to be in florida for the last time before the election day today. i was just in florida. >> in my district. >> i was doing some canvassing with the national. one of the things i was interested in finding out, and now the a bombing campaign is suggesting that hispanic latino voting might be of 2%. how do think president obama is going to do with hispanics and...
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four-point margin for obama. >> it is 47-47, president obama well under 50 in a state he should be well over 50, there are a million more democrats in pennsylvania that republicans. energy is very important issue in the state of pennsylvania and in 2008 in the democrat primary, hillary clinton beat president obama by double digits after president obama was the nominee for the party. it is fertile ground. >>chris: what will you look at early on election night? what states in what counties? how will you know if it is going to be an early night or long night? how long do you think it will take for us to figure out who is the next president? >>guest: there will be a lot of key things but what we are seeing is that there is a general underperforming in places where president obama needs to do well and this is overperforming in places where governor romney does well. there is an intensity factor on the side of the republicans that there is a significant gap and we see it on the ground with people knocking on the door and when people are making phone calls and, again, it is back to the simple
four-point margin for obama. >> it is 47-47, president obama well under 50 in a state he should be well over 50, there are a million more democrats in pennsylvania that republicans. energy is very important issue in the state of pennsylvania and in 2008 in the democrat primary, hillary clinton beat president obama by double digits after president obama was the nominee for the party. it is fertile ground. >>chris: what will you look at early on election night? what states in what...
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we're in a swing county in what is a swing state. this county voted for obama back in 2008. his margin of victory was over 8 points, a little higher than across the rest of the state of the this was a county that went for bush the previous two elections, so it's a county to watch. we've been speaking to people here about who they support. let's listen to what two of them had to say. >> i'll be supporting president obama. i believe he stands for women's rights, for children's rights, for everyone's rights more than people who represent the top 1%. >> i was -- had high hopes for obama, but he just hasn't fulfilled them. so i think it's time for a change, and romney is the kind of manager/organizer that can do the job. >> reporter: we had a chance to talk to several people here, some of them from loudoun county, some from elsewhere. they both agreed that they've just about had it with all the political ads. back to you. >> oh, we've all had it with the political ads. a athina, i want to see the punkin chunkin. we just saw the aftermath behind her. you guys are going to help us
we're in a swing county in what is a swing state. this county voted for obama back in 2008. his margin of victory was over 8 points, a little higher than across the rest of the state of the this was a county that went for bush the previous two elections, so it's a county to watch. we've been speaking to people here about who they support. let's listen to what two of them had to say. >> i'll be supporting president obama. i believe he stands for women's rights, for children's rights, for...
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a lot of people cannot abide the idea of barack obama as president of the united states. they are angry. say outrageous things. the romney campaign abandoned most of the its message. it is just going back to some of the race stuff on welfare that it was doing before. they are appealing to that anger. they call that intensity, i call it irrationality. >> they have a lot of reason to go back to that, i suppose, alicia, when you look at the fact, the president is maintaining an edge in swing states, according to real politics, which is averaging the polls. president obama leads by roughly 4 points in washington and pennsylvania. leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at
a lot of people cannot abide the idea of barack obama as president of the united states. they are angry. say outrageous things. the romney campaign abandoned most of the its message. it is just going back to some of the race stuff on welfare that it was doing before. they are appealing to that anger. they call that intensity, i call it irrationality. >> they have a lot of reason to go back to that, i suppose, alicia, when you look at the fact, the president is maintaining an edge in swing...
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if obama is short in the suburbs, those are, that would make that state very close. i am not predicting but i think... >> it is not totally blue. we have a republican governor, and a republican legislature, and a republican senator. >> and the republicans just won in the last election. >> and a lot of democrats, more democrats are in jail than any other. >> i think new york and new jersey are in the running. >> the presidential race is close this late. bob: in 1976 ford and carter closed down but, no, it is going to be one if the books. okay, one more thing, up next, stay tuned. [ male announcer ] when was the last time something made your jaw drop? campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪ from jammin' jerk chicken, to creamy gouda bisque. see what's new from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. and you learned something along the way. this is the age of knowing what you're made of. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask if your heart is healthy eno
if obama is short in the suburbs, those are, that would make that state very close. i am not predicting but i think... >> it is not totally blue. we have a republican governor, and a republican legislature, and a republican senator. >> and the republicans just won in the last election. >> and a lot of democrats, more democrats are in jail than any other. >> i think new york and new jersey are in the running. >> the presidential race is close this late. bob: in 1976...
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and right knew president obama is headed to the battle ground state of ohio. he talked to voters there about job growth and how governor romney's ideas won't work. >> but here's the thing, florida. we know what change looks like. what governor romney's offering ain't it. giving more power back to the biggest banks, that's not change. another $5 trillion in tax cuts for the wealthy, that's not change. refusing to answer questions about the details of our policies until after the election, that's definitely not change. >> president obama also told voters that he would fight hard for them and their families. and if you hope the polls will shed some light on who will win? forget about it. cnn editor paul stein hauser is here to do the math for us. paul, what do the national polls look like? >> two days to go, and we have four polls that are nonpartisan and came out since midnight. let's start with the abc news/"washington post." 48% of likely voters supporting the president. 48% supporting mitt romney. how about nbc news/"wall street journal," pretty much the same
and right knew president obama is headed to the battle ground state of ohio. he talked to voters there about job growth and how governor romney's ideas won't work. >> but here's the thing, florida. we know what change looks like. what governor romney's offering ain't it. giving more power back to the biggest banks, that's not change. another $5 trillion in tax cuts for the wealthy, that's not change. refusing to answer questions about the details of our policies until after the election,...
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, the current president of the united states, our president, barack obama! >> welcome back to "hardball." the president and the former president campaigning together. president obama made note of the power of the former president and his secretary of state hillary clinton today. >> let me just say president clinton has been traveling all across the country for this campaign. he has been breaking it down so well that people tell me i should ask him to be secretary of explaining stuff. the only clinton working harder than him is our secretary of state, hillary clinton! >> joan walsh is author of "what's the matter with white people?" by the way, to remind everybody david did uncover that 47% video. first of all, joan, when i hear bill clinton, i hear strains of wendell wellky losing his voice in that 1940 race. but here you have bill clinton out there today basically adding something. he does something when he shows up with obama. it seems like it's more than one or two, it's like maybe a five. >> they're larger than the sum of their parts. i was just looking
, the current president of the united states, our president, barack obama! >> welcome back to "hardball." the president and the former president campaigning together. president obama made note of the power of the former president and his secretary of state hillary clinton today. >> let me just say president clinton has been traveling all across the country for this campaign. he has been breaking it down so well that people tell me i should ask him to be secretary of...
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obama's event. why hollywood florida? tell us about his strategy here. >> think you very much. great question. the answer is an odd is 1 for anyone who studies politics. hollywood, fla., is the second- largest city and robert county florida. it is one of the most heavily democratic urban counties in the united states of america. president obama needs a huge turnout in brought word county. in recent elections it has been underperforming. it did not underperform in 2008. but he needs to maximize the level of enthusiasm off between now and tuesday to get as many democratic votes out as possible. brought word -- broward is the most heavily-democratic county in the state of florida. we have had huge lines of the early voting sites. neither side is taking florida for granted. tomorrow we will get visits from it wrongly and from first lady michelle obama. they're both doing events in and around orlando. it is considered very important the white election in florida. to go mitt romney around orlando. why tha
obama's event. why hollywood florida? tell us about his strategy here. >> think you very much. great question. the answer is an odd is 1 for anyone who studies politics. hollywood, fla., is the second- largest city and robert county florida. it is one of the most heavily democratic urban counties in the united states of america. president obama needs a huge turnout in brought word county. in recent elections it has been underperforming. it did not underperform in 2008. but he needs to...
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it shouldn't be happening in the united states of america. if there is an issue, keep the polls open. what is the difference? this is the united states of america. when people around the world understand about voter suppression and hear these arguments. >> neil: another day, another after tuesday? >> in ohio.... >> you are not saying go to november 7th? >> we have four hours of early voting today in ohio. polls were open 1:00 to 5:00. why is that? why couldn't we have eight hours or ten hours? great i think they should all vote early. some some of these polling places you are waiting in two or three hours. >> neil: you are not trying to run out the clock? >> no, i want every american should be voting. that is the goal and that is the standard for the united states of america. >> neil: general, it's always a pleasure. in the meantime, is this enough to make roosevelt rumble. james, it is close as the general said. are you getting worried? >> great to be with you. we saw each other in charlotte. a lot has happened since then. i always expected
it shouldn't be happening in the united states of america. if there is an issue, keep the polls open. what is the difference? this is the united states of america. when people around the world understand about voter suppression and hear these arguments. >> neil: another day, another after tuesday? >> in ohio.... >> you are not saying go to november 7th? >> we have four hours of early voting today in ohio. polls were open 1:00 to 5:00. why is that? why couldn't we have...
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battleground state of ohio, the obama re-election campaign has 137 field offices, compared with 40 for mitt romney. politico's maggie haverman says -- >> joining me now is howard dean, former chairman of the democratic national convention and former governor of vermont. thanks for being here. >> thanks for having me on. i particularly like, you have the power that the president talked about. that was from 2004. >> indeed, indeed. governor dean, let's talk about the ground game here. there's been a lot of analysis in the months and days leading up to this. in terms of number of field offices, i mentioned 125 to 40 in terms of offices in ohio, the obama campaign says they've reached 125 million people, and reported that the romney campaign has only reached 50 million. that seems to be a disproportionate disadvantage. >> nobody has ever done this better than the obama campaign and their game is even better than it was in 2008. so i expect we're going to win. i think we're going to win iowa and ohio. >> let's listen to what john boehner, from ohio, said today. he gave his prediction on fox
battleground state of ohio, the obama re-election campaign has 137 field offices, compared with 40 for mitt romney. politico's maggie haverman says -- >> joining me now is howard dean, former chairman of the democratic national convention and former governor of vermont. thanks for being here. >> thanks for having me on. i particularly like, you have the power that the president talked about. that was from 2004. >> indeed, indeed. governor dean, let's talk about the ground game...
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the candidates are slinging in a flurry of events in swing states. president obama
the candidates are slinging in a flurry of events in swing states. president obama
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two of the biggest states. so i just typed in new york and california. it automatically generated the figures for me, and with one click, i can capture this snapshot, share it on facebook and twitter, which i will right after this, and get any other information i want about any state in the country. another thing that fascinates me, if we get away from the numbers and that kind of talk, lots of americans don't vote. i am always interested to hear the stories about people who are voting no matter how you're voting. what's inspiring you and makes you different from people who are apathetic or too busy or can't vote? what's inspiring you? we have this new app set up on my facebook page, joshlevs@cnn. you can click on it, you can show it to all your friend, and we have questions there. i have a screen for you with the questions they have posted for me that's going on my facebook page. we're asking you what is inspiring you to vote? what's getting you out to the polls, if you've already done it or if you plan to do
two of the biggest states. so i just typed in new york and california. it automatically generated the figures for me, and with one click, i can capture this snapshot, share it on facebook and twitter, which i will right after this, and get any other information i want about any state in the country. another thing that fascinates me, if we get away from the numbers and that kind of talk, lots of americans don't vote. i am always interested to hear the stories about people who are voting no...
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and i think that it looks like the state leans towards president obama. but the senate race, the republican has a bit of an advantage there. the problem is that the democratic candidate is not a perfect candidate. she's under investigation by the house ethics committee and that's gotten in her way of getting better known and supported in areas of the state she does not represent, because these tend to be more swing areas of the state. >> one of the questions that is going to come up quickly on leadership issues. nancy pelosi, the democratic leader, has virtually no chance they're going to pick up 25 seats. that means that the democrats are not going to regain control. what is the likely scenario, is she going to stay and be the democratic leader? >> most people thought in 2010 after democrats lost 63 seats and lost control of the house she might step aside. she actually stayed on. i don't hear from democrats betting she's going to quietly step aside, even if democrats don't gain much traction and pick up half of the seats they need to take back the house
and i think that it looks like the state leans towards president obama. but the senate race, the republican has a bit of an advantage there. the problem is that the democratic candidate is not a perfect candidate. she's under investigation by the house ethics committee and that's gotten in her way of getting better known and supported in areas of the state she does not represent, because these tend to be more swing areas of the state. >> one of the questions that is going to come up...
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you have paul krugman he comes out and says the state polling overwhelmingly to obama victory. anybody who suggests that romney has got a real shot here is stupid. reporters who say that are lazy and doing a disservice? >> i'm not going to get an insult contest with paul krusman because there is no way to win that. as a pollster in 74 and 81. polling there is some indication that there is weaknesses in these state polls. they are getting party identification in states better for the democrats better than 2008 which seems unlikely. polling has been degraded somewhat because polling procedures were built up in a nation where we have universal landline telephones and population that answer the phone. we no longer live in such a nation. pollsters and both parties and non-partisan pollsters are concerned. pew has completed interviews on 9% of the calls a initiated in 2011. we don't know. >> megyn: that is fascinating stuff. are you ready? time to compare plans and see what's new. you don't have to make changes, but it's good to look. maybe you can find better coverage, save money, o
you have paul krugman he comes out and says the state polling overwhelmingly to obama victory. anybody who suggests that romney has got a real shot here is stupid. reporters who say that are lazy and doing a disservice? >> i'm not going to get an insult contest with paul krusman because there is no way to win that. as a pollster in 74 and 81. polling there is some indication that there is weaknesses in these state polls. they are getting party identification in states better for the...
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and we all know that ohio is one of the key states president obama and mitt romney are battling to win, and voting rights advocates there are already raising some concerns. the worry started after a report in the columbus free press that ohio's secretary of state john houston had, quote, experimental software patches installed in voting machines in 39 counties. voting rights activists say the software could potentially impact more than 4 million votes. the free press also says the software was never independently certified or tested. as john lemon spoke to the secretary of state last night, they gave him a chance to respond to those allegations. >> we have a new election night reporting system. all we have is an ability for them to load the data into that election reporting system, and actually, it's so -- the reporting system and the actual accounting system are not connected in any way, and the results that anybody can get in their home on the computer, they're going to get them the same time i do on election night. so we have a very trans parent system that's brand new and will help
and we all know that ohio is one of the key states president obama and mitt romney are battling to win, and voting rights advocates there are already raising some concerns. the worry started after a report in the columbus free press that ohio's secretary of state john houston had, quote, experimental software patches installed in voting machines in 39 counties. voting rights activists say the software could potentially impact more than 4 million votes. the free press also says the software was...
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in the end, obama wins that state by two or three points. host: i want to put on the screen what is happening in colorado, alabama, north carolina. the number of votes cast as of yesterday. in colorado, 1.5 million votes cast. 35% for democrats, 37% republicans. in iowa, just over 500,800 cast. 43% democratic and 32% republican. guest: you are seeing a shift. same thing for florida. the last election, they had almost a 10 point advantage in terms of the early vote. all of the big statewide papers for mitt romney changed the dynamic and tipped it in the direction of romney. host: the other states are nevada, north carolina, and ohio. in nevada, 627,000 early votes castle far. for democrats, 48% and four republicans, 32%. in ohio, 1.3 million early votes cast. 29% for the democrats and 23% for republicans. guest: ohio is hard to judge. you need to look more at demographics and area rather than partisanship. colorado is looking pretty decent for the republicans. north carolina is looking decent for the republicans. iowa is looking good for the
in the end, obama wins that state by two or three points. host: i want to put on the screen what is happening in colorado, alabama, north carolina. the number of votes cast as of yesterday. in colorado, 1.5 million votes cast. 35% for democrats, 37% republicans. in iowa, just over 500,800 cast. 43% democratic and 32% republican. guest: you are seeing a shift. same thing for florida. the last election, they had almost a 10 point advantage in terms of the early vote. all of the big statewide...
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firewall for president obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i've seen. a new poll from "the des moines register" has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president's column? >> david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it's important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north carolina, he'll have to carry election day by a hugeo margin, and we think we'll do very well with election day voters. we're in i think a commanding position, but our big challenge is to make sure we execute and get our vote out. and that's what we're spending all of our time on. >> let me ask you about a couple of issues here in the final s stretch. the arguments from governor romney boil down to the economy and the unemployment rate higher than when the president took office. here's governor romney last night. >> he said he would bring the un
firewall for president obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i've seen. a new poll from "the des moines register" has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president's column? >> david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it's important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north...
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there are some indications that obama is ahead in the state-by-state polls so he could win the electoral college but could lose the popular vote. that happened, of course, in 2000. what are the historic parallels that you think of when you look at this election? >> in some ways there are no parallels because of structural politics. you have to go back to the 1850s. but we're talking about tight elections, there have been any number of them, 1800, 1824, neither of the presidential candidates got in the majority of the electoral college so it was sent to the house of representatives. 1960, i remember being a little kid staying up very, very late wondering who was going to win the election, kennedy or nixon. it came down in the end with illinois but it was a real cliff hanger. >> does it surprise people when it's a close election? >> sometimes. sometimes it tells you the opposite of what an election should tell you. for example, in 2,000, i think that 50/50 split was exactly 50/50 across the country. even the supreme court justices of florida and the united states put together, we're 50/50
there are some indications that obama is ahead in the state-by-state polls so he could win the electoral college but could lose the popular vote. that happened, of course, in 2000. what are the historic parallels that you think of when you look at this election? >> in some ways there are no parallels because of structural politics. you have to go back to the 1850s. but we're talking about tight elections, there have been any number of them, 1800, 1824, neither of the presidential...
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that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i have been asking people today, if it's tied, don't you claim to be ahead? >> if only i knew the answer. this is the question that we all watch the same polls nationally and in the battlegrounds, they are tight. you can be buffetted one way or the other of the spin on both sides. they make the case the early voting numbers look like the obama campaign has lost the margin it went into election day with four years ago. on the other hand, it shows obama is up by two to one margins. you can glean whatever you want out of the facts that we have, the data that we have. the larger issu
that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i...
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you saw last night obama, romney in different states making their closing arguments. those were arguments about trust. those were arguments about fear. those were arguments that hit the core of the emotion of the elector ate. captain be measured in a poll. the polls are done. the real poll is on tuesday and that is going to show who they trusted, which closing argument really sealed the deal for are those voters. >> all right. so peter, you know, the democratic model of who they call when they are looking to do internal democratic party polling is very different apparently from the republican model. 2008 a lot of democrats surged to the polls. people say there isn't going be that kind of enthusiasm this time around. the question is which party has the more accurate polling model? >> well, that is the question. it is very simple. the republicans think the electorate will be a little whiter and a little older than the democrats do. and race and age are are two aspects of the electorate that are important in figuring out who wins the election. mr. obama is going to do we
you saw last night obama, romney in different states making their closing arguments. those were arguments about trust. those were arguments about fear. those were arguments that hit the core of the emotion of the elector ate. captain be measured in a poll. the polls are done. the real poll is on tuesday and that is going to show who they trusted, which closing argument really sealed the deal for are those voters. >> all right. so peter, you know, the democratic model of who they call when...
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polls in the state favor president obama, but not by as much as they once did. the romney campaign calls it expanding the electoral map. the obama campaign calls it a fairy tale. welcome to the parallel universe phase of the campaign. joining me is chicago mayor and former white house chief of staff rahm emanuel. let me start by showing a poll out of pennsylvania showing that the president's numbers have been slipping since september, and it's now looking like a four-point race in pennsylvania, which is inside the margin of error. are you all worried about that? >> no. i think, look, the campaign is set, and i think people remember going into this election are jobs and you just had a report friday of 171,000 jobs were created, and, candy, i think when i saw that number the fact back to january, 2009 when the president first got elected we got the report within ten days about his election, which is on the january numbers. we showed 839, 840,000 jobs lost. now we're 171,000 jobs gain. that's a million job swing in the right direction, and i think people know it's
polls in the state favor president obama, but not by as much as they once did. the romney campaign calls it expanding the electoral map. the obama campaign calls it a fairy tale. welcome to the parallel universe phase of the campaign. joining me is chicago mayor and former white house chief of staff rahm emanuel. let me start by showing a poll out of pennsylvania showing that the president's numbers have been slipping since september, and it's now looking like a four-point race in pennsylvania,...
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president obama and mitt romney traveling from one swing state to another for a battle of votes and victory on tuesday. >> four more years! four more years! >> the last leg means large rallys and the president has some star power. katy perry warmed up the crowd in wisconsin. sounding raspy the president asked for more time to finish the work he started. >> we made real progress these past four years. but wisconsin, we are all gathered here today because we have more work to do. >> mitt romney made his final stop of the day in colorado. he says the progress so far isn't enough and it is time for change. >> the question of this election comes down to this, do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> it was the last day of early voting in florida. voters there faced long lines, some waiting hours to get into polling centers. and in response to super storm sandy, chris christie ordered county clerks to open their offices this weekend to allow the storm victim to vote. they are also allowing registered voters to do so electronically. >> the candidates will focus on the key swing
president obama and mitt romney traveling from one swing state to another for a battle of votes and victory on tuesday. >> four more years! four more years! >> the last leg means large rallys and the president has some star power. katy perry warmed up the crowd in wisconsin. sounding raspy the president asked for more time to finish the work he started. >> we made real progress these past four years. but wisconsin, we are all gathered here today because we have more work to...
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still, in those battleground states, a small but steady lead for president obama and it's in the battlegrounds especially those midwestern states of iowa, wisconsin and ohio, where the candidates are making their closing arguments. >> the american auto industry is back on top. osama bin laden is dead. we have made real progress. but, we are here today because we know we got more work to do. >> the question in this election is this, do you want to stay on the course that we are on or do you want real change? because we represent real change. >>> with that, let's hear from the campaign's top strategists. david plouffe and ed gillespie. david, let me begin with you. i know that you have been steadily confident throughout this campaign. but you saw our abc news/washington post poll still absolutely deadlocked. 48-48. how can you remain so confident? >> well, george, we have always known that this was going to be a very close race. but it is going to be decided in the battle ground states. we have an important lead in those states. early voting has gone very well for us. we think we're closing with
still, in those battleground states, a small but steady lead for president obama and it's in the battlegrounds especially those midwestern states of iowa, wisconsin and ohio, where the candidates are making their closing arguments. >> the american auto industry is back on top. osama bin laden is dead. we have made real progress. but, we are here today because we know we got more work to do. >> the question in this election is this, do you want to stay on the course that we are on or...
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he was totally against obama care. now he says there are parts i like. now he says give disaster relief to the united states and now he says let's keep fema. >> that has become the theme, debra saunders. i wonder if it's fair or we're seeing a certain amount of span in this coverage? >> look it. i think we've seen the etch a sketch romney. he moved to the right in order to win the prom mair. now he's moving toward the center. i think we're seeing the real romney, the guy who's a technocrat, who would come in with his pencil and move money around to make fema more effective and more cost-effective. so i think it's fair for people to point it out and ask which one is the real one. i have to tell you, though, i keep getting e-mails from the white house, forward from fee mall and i see the white house taking fema and using its campaign slogan on fema everywhere. i think that's sort of an issue too. >> possible exploitation of a tragedy, but at the same time the president has gotten a lot of praise for his performance after sandy struck. let me turn to an ad,
he was totally against obama care. now he says there are parts i like. now he says give disaster relief to the united states and now he says let's keep fema. >> that has become the theme, debra saunders. i wonder if it's fair or we're seeing a certain amount of span in this coverage? >> look it. i think we've seen the etch a sketch romney. he moved to the right in order to win the prom mair. now he's moving toward the center. i think we're seeing the real romney, the guy who's a...
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i saw a thing the other day that barack obama's margin in 2008 came from 10 counties in united states. 3,000-something, 3,000-plus counties in the united states. if you take 10 counties out of that, barack obama would not have won the presidenciy. the votes are so concentrated and i think naitself lead to this partisanship. >> it's a function of the geographic and cultural division of our politices, and on what's going to happen next, david, i think you're basically right. the president chose to run an almost entirely negative campaign based on destroying mitt romney from beginning to the end. but his second-term agenda is based on working something out with the congressional republicans. and if he wins in these circumstances a very narrow victory, probably having run this kind of campaign, republicans aren't going to be more pliable. they're going to be less so. >> you think they're be more resistant if he wins? they'll be more resistant in the house? >> yes. and romney on the other hand getting his stuff done depends on having a republican senate which looks like a dicey proposition
i saw a thing the other day that barack obama's margin in 2008 came from 10 counties in united states. 3,000-something, 3,000-plus counties in the united states. if you take 10 counties out of that, barack obama would not have won the presidenciy. the votes are so concentrated and i think naitself lead to this partisanship. >> it's a function of the geographic and cultural division of our politices, and on what's going to happen next, david, i think you're basically right. the president...
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if we have obama as president socialism will be in the united states. host: less of a map to get a sense of where the candidates have been. -- let's look at a map to get a sense of where the candidates have been. all the candidates have been crisscrossing ohio. the other battleground states colorado, iowa, and now wisconsin. minnesota is in play. a romney in pennsylvania. the states of getting the most attention since the party conventions. they have been traveling to a total of 10 states. later this afternoon we will have live coverage of bombing donald. he will be joined by two of the romney sons. they are in virginia. good afternoon. caller: hello. i voted for obama because i am highly impressed with his leadership and the leadership he has shown throughout his administration. i am also impressed with his vice-president mr. joe biden. they work together as a team. we need to finish what we started. i also enjoyed listening to mr. biden's comment today about mitt romney. he said mitt romney has been sowing seeds of confusion but the president is sowin
if we have obama as president socialism will be in the united states. host: less of a map to get a sense of where the candidates have been. -- let's look at a map to get a sense of where the candidates have been. all the candidates have been crisscrossing ohio. the other battleground states colorado, iowa, and now wisconsin. minnesota is in play. a romney in pennsylvania. the states of getting the most attention since the party conventions. they have been traveling to a total of 10 states....